很抱歉，但这种信心水平确实令人难以置信。 我并不是说 $BTC 不可能到达 $50K，但当 76% 的人都确信这会发生时——这正是我们可能先看到更长时间横盘的原因。 市场就喜欢惩罚共识；说实话，现在我看到的明显更多是暴露出来的做空仓位，而不是做多仓位。 如果我们跌破 $54K，$48K 可能就是下一个……（ETF IBIT 批准过程的烛芯高点） 如果我们能守住 PWL，我希望能看到一些缓解。 我们已经清算了大多数做多仓位；说实话，现在我看到的明显更多是做空仓位暴露出来，而不是做多仓位。 以上仅是我目前对 LTF 的一些想法。熊市可能会非常无情，所以接受度至关重要。
I'm sorry, but this level of confidence is actually insane. I'm not saying $BTC can't see $50K, but when 76% of people are convinced it's going to happen, that's exactly why we could see a much more prolonged period of chop first. The market loves to punish consensus, and to be honest, I now see more shorts exposed than longs. If we lose $54K, $48K is likely next... (IBIT ETF Approval wick high) If we can hold the PWL, I'd like to see some relief. We've already liquidated the majority of longs, and to be honest, I now see more shorts becoming exposed than longs. Just my current thoughts on the LTF. Bear markets can be ruthless so acceptance is key.
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