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The fully diluted value (FDV) of Predict.fun above ___ one day after launch?

PolymarketMarket prediction · Crypto
Volume $5.8Modds

Current probabilities

Probability of each range, sorted by ascending price
RangeProbability (Yes)Volume
US$ 50,000,000
91%
$471.0K
US$ 100,000,000
89%
$492.4K
US$ 200,000,000
82%
$1.1M
US$ 300,000,000
80%
$1.0M
US$ 400,000,000
76%
$741.9K
US$ 500,000,000
61%
$687.5K
US$ 600,000,000
51%
$306.4K
US$ 800,000,000
42%
$234.0K
US$ 1,000,000,000
32%
$489.4K
US$ 1,500,000,000
23%
$102.0K
US$ 2,000,000,000
10%
$218.2K

How to read

The percentages above represent the implied probability that the prediction market assigns to each range — the higher the value, the more likely the market considers it. The price in cents (¢) reflects how much participants pay for a contract that pays US$ 1 if the outcome occurs. Odds change in real time as new trades happen. Informational content, with no betting intermediation.

Market context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid available price source. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid available price source. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Related predictions

Source: Polymarket · Informational content, no betting intermediation.

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