What will the price of Bitcoin be in July?
PolymarketMarket prediction · Crypto
Volume $10.5Modds
BTC/USD
Current probabilities
| Range | Probability (Yes) | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| ≤ US$ 37,500 | 0% | $268.8K |
| ≤ US$ 40,000 | 0% | $96.1K |
| ≤ US$ 42,500 | 0% | $121.5K |
| ≤ US$ 45,000 | 0% | $233.2K |
| ≤ US$ 47,500 | 1% | $286.6K |
| ≤ US$ 50,000 | 1% | $371.2K |
| ≤ US$ 52,500 | 3% | $288.8K |
| ≤ US$ 55,000 | 6% | $496.9K |
| ≤ US$ 57,500 | 14% | $786.7K |
| ≤ US$ 60,000 | 35% | $254.5K |
| ≤ US$ 62,500 | 69% | $25.8K |
| ≥ US$ 65,000 | 84% | $3.2K |
| ≥ US$ 67,500 | 41% | $1.2M |
| ≥ US$ 70,000 | 18% | $736.9K |
| ≥ US$ 72,500 | 8% | $531.7K |
| ≥ US$ 75,000 | 3% | $732.3K |
| ≥ US$ 77,500 | 1% | $415.0K |
| ≥ US$ 80,000 | 1% | $613.2K |
| ≥ US$ 82,500 | 0% | $613.6K |
| ≥ US$ 100,000 | 0% | $1.3M |
Resolved markets (6)
- ≥ US$ 65,000Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
- ≥ US$ 62,500Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
- ≤ US$ 60,000Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
- ≤ US$ 62,500Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
- ≥ US$ 62,500Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
- ≤ US$ 65,000Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
How to read
The percentages above represent the implied probability that the prediction market assigns to each range — the higher the value, the more likely the market considers it. The price in cents (¢) reflects how much participants pay for a contract that pays US$ 1 if the outcome occurs. Odds change in real time as new trades happen. Informational content, with no betting intermediation.
Market context
What price will Bitcoin reach in July?
Resolution rules
This market will resolve immediately to "Yes" if any 1-minute candle of BTC/USDT on Binance during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day until 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected in the top bar.
Note that the outcome of this market depends exclusively on the price data of the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, from different trading pairs, or from spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Related predictions
Source: Polymarket · Informational content, no betting intermediation.