Was the Transparency Law enacted in 2026?
PolymarketMarket prediction · Crypto
Volume $1.8Modds
History (¢)
Current probabilities
| Range | Probability (Yes) | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Mercado | 42% | $1.8M |
How to read
The percentages above represent the implied probability that the prediction market assigns to each range — the higher the value, the more likely the market considers it. The price in cents (¢) reflects how much participants pay for a contract that pays US$ 1 if the outcome occurs. Odds change in real time as new trades happen. Informational content, with no betting intermediation.
Market context
This market will resolve as "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No".
The primary resolution source is the Congress.gov legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the United States government; however, other reliable reporting may be used.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source is the Congress.gov legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the United States government; however, another reliable disclosure may be used.
Related predictions
Source: Polymarket · Informational content, no betting intermediation.