大家是不是突然都忘了，$BTC 在上一轮周期的减半之前创造了新的 ATH？ 人们忘了我们在距离底部仅 476 天后就达到了新的 ATH？相比过去 2 个周期要快得多？ 周期正在加速。 希望这一次也能再次发生同样的事情。 $BTC 也将在本周期的减半之前创造新的 ATH。 这意味着资金会更快形成，顶部也会更快出现。 季节性一直有效，直到它不再有效。 根据历史季节性，我们本不该在减半之前突破 ATH，但我们突破了。 根据季节性，我们本该在 11 月—12 月达到顶点，但本轮周期却在 10 月初后的几天就到达了顶点。 周期并不会完美遵循剧本，因此期待时间点会与之前的周期一模一样并不合理，尤其是在一些微妙的信号已经在暗示相反的情况。 很少有人明白。
Has everyone suddenly forgotten that $BTC made a new ATH before the halving last cycle? Have people forgotten that we reached a new ATH just 476 days after the bottom? Significantly faster than the previous 2 cycles? The cycle has accelerated. I expect the same thing to happen again. $BTC will make a new ATH pre-halving this cycle as well. Which means bottoms will form quicker & so will tops. Seasonality works until it doesn't. We weren’t supposed to break the ATH pre-halving based on historical seasonality, yet we did. We were supposed to top in November–December based on seasonality, yet the cycle topped just days into October. Cycles don’t follow a perfect script, so expecting the timing to mirror previous cycles perfectly is unreasonable, especially when subtle signs are already suggesting otherwise. Few understand.
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