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BlackRock Anticipates Possible FED Interest Rate Cuts in 2024

Fast Take
  • BlackRock predicts up to two interest rate cuts in 2024.
  • Market reaction influenced by inflation expectations.
  • BlackRock considers adjusting the duration of investments.
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Rick Rieder, Director of Global Fixed Income Investments at BlackRock, projects that the Federal Reserve (FED) could cut interest rates twice this year.

The statement comes in a context where inflation shows signs of moderation. “It's getting harder and harder for them to do it, but I still think they can do it,” Rieder said during an interview with Bloomberg Television.

Recently, markets reacted to economic data that exceeded expectations, particularly following the release of the March consumer price index. This scenario has pushed Treasury bond yields to their highest 2024 levels, influencing market expectations.

Swap traders currently anticipate approximately 40 basis points of interest rate cuts by the end of the year, which equates to less than two full 0,25% cuts.

Regarding its internal strategy, BlackRock has adjusted its exposure to interest rate risk, favoring short-term investments. According to Rieder, the manager sees a possible window of opportunity for a change in approach in the near future.

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“After seeing some good inflation reports and evidence that employment is slowing down, we can start to extend the deadline,” he explained, indicating that a change in investment strategy may depend on upcoming economic data.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed by the author, or anyone mentioned in this article, are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment or other advice. Investing or trading cryptocurrencies carries a risk of financial loss.
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